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AC资本市场:美国消费者信心指数连续三个月下降后超出预期

2024-05-29 08:05:51


在连续三个月的下降之后,美国消费者信心指数在周二上升至102,高于预期的96和上个月的97.5。此次积极的结果得益于当前情况指数和预期指数的上升。然而,尽管预期指数上升至74.6,但仍低于80,这通常预示着即将到来的经济衰退。

强劲的劳动力市场状况显著提升了消费者信心,越来越少的受访者声称找工作“困难”。收入超过10万美元的群体显示出最大的信心增长。

数据发布后,欧元兑美元(EUR/USD)上升,测试下降趋势线和最近的高点约1.0875的潜在阻力位。这些阻力因素的结合可能会导致价格下跌,向100和200日移动平均线以及1.08支点靠拢。

 1.png

EURUSD 图表

美元兑瑞士法郎(USD/CHF)跌至0.91的支点,该支点最近在支撑和阻力之间明显转换。价格可能会在0.91找到支撑,并上升测试0.92的水平。


 2.png

USDCHF图表


日本央行行长表达独特的通胀担忧

日本央行行长植田和男在东京发表了关于央行前景的讲话。他指出,在经历多年宽松货币政策后,对于通胀目标框架存在“独特的困难”担忧。他提到,由于过去三十年来日本的短期利率接近零,很难准确估计中性利率。

然而,植田和男也指出,日本在摆脱零利率和提升通胀预期方面取得了“进展”。

新闻发布后,美元兑日元(USD/JPY)在前一个高点约156.50找到支撑,并有望上升到图表显示的极高点。价格可能会在158.50和160之间遇到阻力。

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 USDJPY 图表




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