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AC资本市场:特朗普交易继续狂奔,美国通胀数据将至

2024-11-12 08:11:39

美国市场昨日休市,但“特朗普交易”仍在继续。比特币涨幅超过8.0%,达到87,100美元。美国股指期货上涨,美元持续走强,原油期货下跌,因特朗普的 “往死里钻探” 政策(提振原油政策)威胁能源市场。

期货交易显示,道琼斯指数上涨0.70%,标普500指数上涨0.13%,纳斯达克指数上涨0.10%。美元指数(DXY)下跌0.41%,至103.90,回吐周五的涨幅。

昨日亚洲市场表现平稳,受到周末中国经济数据疲软和周五债务互换公告的影响。

在金融衍生品市场上,美元指数隔夜上涨0.52%,至105.51。从图表上看,尽管相对强弱指数(RSI)接近超买区域,美元指数依然朝着106.10的初步目标前进。


Picture1.png美元指数 (DXY) H1

欧洲继续处于政治动荡和特朗普恐惧的影响中,成为新的“英国病人”。欧元/美元(EUR/USD)隔夜下跌0.58%,至1.0655,击穿1.0670的支撑位,并接近1. 0600的支撑区域。此前,围绕1.1200的双顶反转信号的长期下行趋势未见缓解。


Picture2.png欧元/美元 (EURUSD) H4

由于美国可能增加产量、需求放缓以及若特朗普抛弃乌克兰,俄罗斯石油可能重返国际市场等因素,油价持续承压。布伦特原油和西德克萨斯中质原油(WTI)期货隔夜在清淡交易中下跌2.75%。

布伦特原油本周有望再次测试每桶70.00美元的支撑位。


Picture3.png美国原油 (USOIL) H1

今天亚洲数据日历为空,德国的ZEW报告和英国就业数据将于今日下午发布。尤其是疲弱的ZEW调查结果可能加剧德国近期的困境,并对欧元施加更多下行压力。

本周的重点仍然是明晚发布的美国通胀数据。在此之前,很难与“特朗普交易”的势头抗衡,特别是美国市场今天下午重新开盘。



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