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AC资本市场:加拿大零售数据引发USDCAD大跌,GBPUSD反转

2024-07-22 09:07:22



加拿大零售销售大幅低于预期,USDCAD上升


加拿大的零售销售额为-0.8%,低于预期的-0.5%和之前的0.6%。同时,加拿大核心零售销售额(不包括波动性很大的行业)从预期的-0.5%下降到-1.3%。总体而言,九个子行业中有八个销售额下降,其中食品和饮料零售商领跌。其他主要下滑的贡献者包括酒类零售商(-3.3%)和建筑材料供应商(-2.7%)。在这一负面消息发布后,USDCAD大幅上涨,回落至以下图所示的上升和下降趋势线。价格可能会在上升趋势线和1.3750水平找到阻力。


 1.png

USDCAD 周线图


EURCAD突破下降趋势线和之前的摆动高点至1.49。如果价格继续上涨,可能会在1.5枢轴区域遇到阻力,该区域之前曾见强劲阻力。


 2.png

EURCAD 周线图


英国零售销售减少双倍于预期,GBPUSD迅速逆转


英国的零售销售下降至-1.2%,从2.9%下降。疲弱的结果主要受到百货商店和服装零售商销售量下降的影响。总体而言,与今年第一季度相比,2024年第二季度的销售额下降了0.1%。零售商认为,选举不确定性和恶劣天气是造成负面回报的主要原因。消息发布后,GBPUSD从1.3急剧逆转,可能很快测试之前的摆动高点约1.2850和200 SMA(蓝线)。然而,如果价格上涨,可能会在1.31枢轴附近遇到阻力,该枢轴在2023年7月曾见显著阻力。



 3.png

GBPUSD 周线图





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