在美国大选临近之际,市场在隔夜减轻了风险头寸。股市、美元和美国国债均有所下滑,黄金则保持稳定。
道琼斯指数下跌0.61%,标普500指数下跌0.28%,纳斯达克指数下跌0.33%。美元指数(DXY)下跌0.41%,至103.90,回吐了周五的涨幅。
油价是个例外,在OPEC将计划中的增产推迟一个月以支撑价格后大幅上涨。布伦特原油上涨1.90%,至每桶75.90美元,而WTI上涨3.40%,至71.65美元,收复了日线图上的价格缺口。
两个合约均保持区间波动,WTI在填补缺口后,若72.40美元的阻力位保持不破,则在技术图表上存在向下修正的可能。
美国原油H1
在本地区,澳洲联储(RBA)将于今天下午公布其最新政策决定。由于通胀和增长较强,市场普遍预计澳洲联储不会作出调整。
澳元兑美元在隔夜突破了一个月的下行通道,但若澳洲联储今早意外降息0.25%,澳元兑美元可能回落,测试0.6500以下的支撑位。附带的声明可能比具体的举措更具重要性。
澳元兑美元H4
中国也将发布财新服务业和综合PMI,预计略微上涨至50.5。然而,无论如何中国市场反应可能有限,因为市场关注今晚的美国大选以及本周末可能宣布的更多刺激政策。
来自亚太地区的通胀数据以及印尼GDP将填补亚洲数据日历。
在今晚的美国大选前,亚洲可能会跟随华尔街隔夜的走势。计票仍将在亚洲市场开盘时进行,但出口民调数据很可能会使明日的市场在大多数资产类别中波动加剧。
如果选举结果不确定或非常接近,市场在接下来的几天可能会受到新闻头条的强烈影响。
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