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AC资本市场:美国PPI下降导致美元减速,油价上涨

2025-01-15 08:01:28

美国PPI大幅低于预期,EURUSD获得支撑

美国生产者价格指数(PPI)为0.2%,仅为预测值0.4%的一半,相较于之前的0.4%也有所下降。此外,核心PPI从之前的0.2%降至0%,显示美国批发通胀低于预期。

尽管结果不佳,这一消息仍被积极解读,因为它推动通胀接近目标。然而,许多人预计这可能是风暴前的平静,因为特朗普总统计划实施高额关税,这可能推高消费者成本。

消息发布后,EURUSD从1.02支撑位获得支撑,开始回调至突破的下降趋势线。此外,价格可能会在更陡峭的下降趋势线和1.04支撑位遭遇阻力。


Picture1.pngEURUSD周线图


SPX500回调至上升趋势线

SPX500回调至上升趋势线,可能会在5700支撑位获得支撑。然而,如果价格突破上升趋势线,很可能会跌至5400,这一水平曾经显示出显著的需求。


Picture2.pngSPX500周线图

美国对俄制裁升级,油价上涨

在拜登政府对俄罗斯石油出口商实施最严厉制裁后,油价持续上涨。据报道,美国的目标是限制苏尔古特石油天然气公司(Surgutneftegas)和俄罗斯石油公司(Gazprom Neft)等企业,这些企业占俄罗斯石油出口的25%以上。

消息发布后,WTI原油价格突破下降楔形,价格正在测试78支撑位和100日均线(黑线)。如果价格能够收于78支撑位之上,我们可能会看到价格突破200日均线(蓝线),并很快测试85阻力位。


Picture3.pngUSOILRoll周线图


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