全球市场正在为美国大选做准备，因其结果将产生深远的全球影响。若特朗普获胜，经济学家预测财政赤字将增加，并可能引发全球贸易战。财政赤字增加和全球贸易战可能带来更高的通货膨胀和债券收益率。

然而，特朗普获胜的积极影响是，股市可能会比卡玛拉·哈里斯胜选时获得更大涨幅。标普500指数继续攀升至历史新高，并测试上升趋势线。由于选举不确定性持续，价格似乎将回撤至前期的高点附近，约在5650点。

标普500指数（SPX500）周线图

在其他方面，由于投资者对美国大选结果感到不安并寻求安全投资，黄金兑美元持续走高。价格在上升楔形内沿趋势线获得支撑。

黄金价格（XAUUSD）周线图

澳洲方面，澳大利亚现金利率引发进一步的不确定性。澳大利亚储备银行下调了增长预测，因为RBA预计通胀率到2026年才会回归目标。9月季度的通胀远低于2022年的峰值，因为较高的利率将帮助通胀率下降。

然而，尽管RBA行长布洛克表示市场隐含的现金利率“已足够合理”，但基础通胀率仍然过高。周二消息发布后，澳元兑美元在上升趋势线找到支撑，预计将在与0.6650枢纽交叉的100日均线（黑线）处遇到阻力。如果价格突破0.6650枢纽，可能很快测试0.69以及200日均线（蓝线）。

澳元兑美元（AUDUSD）周线图

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