周四，美国股市预计将小幅下跌，交易员节后回归市场，回吐假日前一个缩短交易日内的部分涨幅。

纽约市场周三（圣诞节）休市。周二，蓝筹股道琼斯工业平均指数上涨0.9%，更广泛的标普500指数上涨1.1%，而科技股集中的纳斯达克综合指数则飙升1.4%。

周四的期货交易显示，道琼斯工业平均指数开盘可能下跌约0.4%，而标普500指数和纳斯达克综合指数预计分别下跌约0.5%。

SPX500Roll H1

包括苹果、亚马逊和谷歌母公司Alphabet在内的“七巨头”科技股在周四的盘前交易中下跌，这些股票是周二股市上涨的主要推动力。

但芯片股表现较强，博通在盘前交易中上涨，延续了周二的涨势。这是因为拜登政府启动了对中国制造的传统芯片的新贸易调查。

然而，预计周四及至新年剩余交易日的股票市场交易量仍将清淡。

在金融衍生品市场方面，美元在周一略低于预期的个人消费支出（PCE）通胀数据发布后保持接近两年高点。这些数据抵消了上周美联储预测2025年降息次数少于预期的影响。美元兑英镑上涨0.18%，报0.7978；兑欧元小幅上涨0.04%，报0.9614。

XAUUSD H1

由于美元略显疲软，黄金价格周四上涨0.2%，至每盎司2622美元，中东地区的地缘政治紧张局势也对金价上涨有所贡献。

其他市场方面，比特币表现疲软，在连续两日上涨后下跌3.9%，至约95500美元。市场对美联储鹰派转向的谨慎情绪重新抬头，该加密货币基准上周曾跌破10万美元的关键水平。

与此同时，油价上涨，受益于中国经济新刺激措施以及美国原油库存下降。英国布伦特原油上涨0.5%，报每桶73.51美元；美国西德克萨斯中质原油（WTI）也上涨0.6%，报每桶70.49美元。

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