澳大利亚现金利率使澳元兑美元大幅下跌
澳大利亚储备银行(RBA)对工资增长和整体经济增长的令人失望表现表示认可,决定维持4.35%的现金利率不变。
RBA行长布洛克的观点没有改变,她仍然对通胀即将达到2%的目标充满信心。尽管整体通胀率正在下降,但RBA董事会仍担心核心通胀未能显示出足够快的动能以达到目标水平。同时,尽管劳动力市场近几个月显示出就业增长,但工资压力仍然较高。
消息公布后,AUDUSD(澳元兑美元)从上升趋势线和0.64关键点位突破。价格在回调测试上升趋势线作为阻力后,空头动能正在增强。
AUDUSD周线图
EURAUD(欧元兑澳元)在回调测试下降趋势线和100日均线(黑线)后突破趋势线。若价格在0.65关键点位上方收盘,可能很快测试1.7水平。
EURAUD周线图
美联储降息预测和中国需求推动黄金价格上涨
根据CME数据,市场对美联储12月降息的预期增加,推动了黄金价格的上涨。
此外,中国恢复黄金采购,将储备增加至超过7200万盎司,从而提升了需求。同时,中东地缘政治紧张局势的加剧继续推高避险资产的价值。
XAUUSD(黄金现货)价格从上升趋势线反弹,价格有望很快测试新的历史高点。如果价格进一步上涨,可能面临来自先前历史高点以及上升趋势线顶部的阻力。
XAUUSD周线图
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