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AC资本市场:特朗普重返白宫引发市场波动,金融衍生品市场成为焦点

2025-01-22 08:01:11

特朗普总统就职典礼推动新兴市场上涨

据彭博社报道,新兴市场货币在特朗普总统的演讲中未提及新的贸易关税后出现上涨。

市场对特朗普的演讲反应积极,因为他避免了立即实施重大新关税。同时,新兴的欧洲货币也录得上涨,乌克兰战争可能结束的前景逐渐明朗化。

此外,对中国的贸易关税尚未公布,预计将在未来几个月内推出。

消息传出后,美元兑离岸人民币(USDCNH)大幅下跌逾1%,从图表的高位滑落。价格可能会测试7.0附近的关键支撑点以及上升趋势线。


Picture1.png美元兑离岸人民币(USDCNH)周线图

欧元兑美元(EURUSD)突破下行旗形,大幅上涨

欧元兑美元价格从下行旗形中强势突破,出现显著的多头动能。如果价格能够收于1.0450关键点位之上,预计将很快测试1.06关键点位以及100日简单移动均线(黑线)。


Picture2.png欧元兑美元(EURUSD)周线图

英国失业金申请人数大幅下降,英镑兑美元(GBPUSD)迅速上涨

英国失业金申请人数为0.7K,远低于预期的10.3K以及此前的25.1K,这对英国经济来说是一个非常积极的消息。失业人数的减少得益于员工平均收入的年增长率上升。然而,2024年12月的薪资员工人数下降了0.2%。

消息发布后,英镑兑美元迅速上涨,价格突破1.23的高点并测试下行趋势线作为潜在阻力。如果价格能收于下行趋势线之上,可能很快测试1.25的主要关键点位。


Picture3.png英镑兑美元(GBPUSD)周线图


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