交易书籍,敬请期待

首页> 交易商汇评> 正文

AC资本市场:美元反弹,美国PCE通胀暗示软着陆在望

2024-09-02 14:09:59

美国PCE指数推动美联储走向降息

美国核心PCE价格指数是美联储的主要通胀衡量指标,本月录得0.2%。这一结果意味着通胀正在减弱,预计将在明年达到2%的目标。尽管消费者支出仍然强劲,但收入增长依然疲软。美联储似乎有可能继续推进预测的9月降息计划,因为年同比结果为2.6%,略低于预测的2.7%。

消息公布后,欧元兑美元(EURUSD)从1.12关键区域大幅回落。如果价格进一步下跌,预计将在1.1关键区域找到支撑,该区域与两个上升趋势线重合。

Picture1.png

欧元兑美元周线图

美元兑日元(USDJPY)突破了上升趋势线和145关键点位。自7月初以来,价格已大幅下跌,预计趋势将继续向141关键区域发展。

Picture2.png

美元兑日元周线图

加拿大GDP下降,美元兑加元下跌放缓

加拿大GDP降至0%,低于预测的0.1%和上月的0.1%。尽管如此,加拿大经济在第二季度仍能实现2.1%的年增长率,高于加拿大央行预测的1.5%。然而,年增长率仍低于3%以上的人口增长率,因此人均增长继续下降。

发布数据后,美元兑加元(USDCAD)从1.3450关键点反弹,价格在下跌动能中有所缓解。我们在8月份看到非常强劲的抛售,因此价格可能会继续下跌至1.31关键区域,该区域与200日均线(蓝线)附近相吻合。

Picture3.png

美元兑加元周线图


风险提示:

The information contained in this market commentary is of general nature only and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. You are strongly recommended to seek independent financial advice before making any investment decisions.

Trading margin forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Investors could experience losses in excess of total deposits. You do not have ownership of the underlying assets. AC Capital Market (V) Ltd is the product issuer and distributor. Please read and consider our Product Disclosure Statement and Terms and Conditions, and fully understand the risks involved before deciding to acquire any of the financial products provided by us.

The content of this market commentary is owned by AC Capital Market (V) Ltd. Any illegal reproduction of this content will result in immediate legal action.