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AC资本市场:欧洲央行警告通胀反弹风险加剧,欧元兑美元大涨,美元兑日元逼近140大关

2024-09-16 13:09:28

欧洲央行再次降息,通胀威胁加剧

上周,欧洲央行(ECB)行长和副行长在新闻发布会上谈到了影响最新利率决定的因素。欧洲央行行长克里斯蒂娜·拉加德决定将主要存款利率下调0.25%至3.5%,因为通胀问题依然令人担忧。

此决定是在通胀率预计将在2024年最后一个季度再次上升后作出的,此前通胀率有所下降,接近2%的目标。新闻发布会指出,工资增长过快是推动价格上涨的主要风险。

消息发布后,欧元兑美元升至1.11水平并测试下降趋势线。价格看似有可能突破下降旗形,近期测试1.12的潜在阻力。

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欧元兑美元日线图

欧元兑日元继续快速下跌,价格接近1.55枢纽位,该水平在上个月曾经有强劲需求。如果价格进一步下跌,可能会找到足够的需求,从而上涨并测试下降趋势线。

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欧元兑日元日线图

 

美国消费者信心超预期,信心增强

美国初步消费者信心指数为69,高于预测的68.3,也高于之前的67.9。信心增强的原因是年通胀预期从2.8%降至2.7%。此外,当前状况指数从61.3上升至62.9,消费者预期指数也有所改善。

数据显示发布后,美元兑日元快速下跌,测试140.50水平,该水平在今年一月曾有显著需求。随着价格进一步跌破140.50,预计该空头趋势将在此处找到支撑。

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美元兑日元日线图

 

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