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AC资本市场:美国工资表显示进一步放缓,SPX500的强支撑即将到来

2024-09-09 12:09:26

美国非农就业数据未达预期,SPX500大幅下跌

美国非农就业变动为118K,低于预期的139K,但高于之前的89K。虽然新增岗位数量仍然疲软,但是失业率却从4.3%下降至4.2%,在很大程度上缓冲了市场的悲观情绪。

低于预期的就业数据表明,美联储本月晚些时候是降息25个基点还是50个基点尚不明确。更令人担忧的是,过去几个月的就业变动数据被下调了86K。

消息公布后,SPX 500迅速下跌,因为在7月的前一个高点处找到了阻力。价格看起来很快将测试上升趋势线和5300的潜在支撑。

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SPX500每周图

USDJPY自7月初以来一直延续其看跌趋势,突破了145关键点位、100日均线(黑线)和上升趋势线。本周已形成一个看跌的外包线蜡烛形态,预计很快会触及140关键点位。

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USDJPY每周图

 

加拿大失业率上升,USDCAD迅速攀升

加拿大失业率上升至6.6%,高于预期的6.5%和之前的6.4%。就业变动为22.1K,低于预期的23.7K。上个月就业的主要推动因素是教育服务和医疗保健。同时,平均时薪同比大幅上升了5%。

在数据公布后,USDCAD迅速从1.35关键点位反弹,自8月初以来出现了快速的看跌动能。价格可能很快会测试1.36水平和上升趋势线回调。

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USDCAD每周图


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