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AC资本市场:PMI不及预期引发美国大跌,美元兑日元急转直下

2024-09-04 08:09:12

美国PMI不及预期引发美股大跌

美国ISM制造业PMI弱于预期,降至47.2,低于预期的47.5;但结果高于之前的46.8。自四月以来,PMI结果一直低于50(表示行业收缩),这增加了美联储本月加息的可能性。公司对库存投资的减少,主要原因是不确定的选举和货币政策。

结果公布后,美元兑日元日线图从147跌至146以下,价格似乎很快将进一步下探至144支撑位。如果价格触及144,预计会在八月初和月底所见的水平找到支撑。第一次反弹至下降趋势线与144枢轴相交,这将为支撑提供额外因素。

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美元兑日元日线图

八月大幅上涨后,英镑兑美元回撤至1.31区域,可能很快触及1.3枢轴。价格可能在上升趋势线获得支撑,该趋势线与1.3050水平重合。

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英镑兑美元日线图

 

瑞士CPI低于预期,通胀压力小幅上升

瑞士CPI为0%,低于预期的0.1%,但高于上个月的-0.2%。尽管CPI保持相对稳定,通胀率与去年八月相比上升了1.1%。主要推动因素是住房租金和服装。然而,航空运输、取暖油和度假套餐价格下降,抵消了涨幅。

消息公布后,美元兑瑞郎从下降趋势线找到阻力,正在测试0.85枢轴。价格可能会在0.85处找到支撑,并很快测试0.8650水平。

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美元兑瑞郎日线图

 

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