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AC资本市场:“特朗普经济学”进行时,英国失业率骤增引发英镑暴跌

2024-11-13 08:11:08

英国失业率超出预期,英镑兑美元暴跌

英国失业率达到4.3%,高于此前预期的4.1%和之前的4%,这一负面消息严重影响了英镑。然而,申请失业救济人数的变化表现积极,从预期的30.5K下降至26.7K。此外,2023年9月至2024年9月期间,工资员工人数增长了0.4%。

尽管申请失业救济人数表现好于预期,但这一数据仍较上月有所上升,更高的失业率依然令人担忧。

消息发布后,英镑兑美元迅速下跌逾1%,突破了上升趋势线。价格可能很快会测试1.27的支点和100日移动平均线(黑线)作为潜在支撑。


Picture1.png英镑兑美元周线图

欧元兑英镑找到支撑位

欧元兑英镑从0.83支点和较低的旗形下降趋势线获得支撑。如果欧元兑英镑上涨,可能会在上方旗形下降趋势线遇到阻力,这将可能与0.8450支点重合。


Picture2.png欧元兑英镑日线图


“特朗普经济学”继续推动美国股市上涨

正如许多分析师所预料的那样,唐纳德·特朗普赢得美国大选后,美国股市出现上涨。特朗普的政策可能会增加通胀压力,促使美联储保持高于预期的利率。因此,在特朗普潜在的高利率政策下,美元走强。

消息发布后,标准普尔500指数上涨超过4%,创下新高并测试6000点水平。如果特朗普坚持将公司税从21%降至15%的主张,标准普尔500指数的看涨趋势可能会继续。


Picture3.png标普500指数周线图



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