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AC资本市场:美国市场因衰退担忧大跌,纳斯达克暴跌4%

2025-03-11 08:03:24

由于关税引发的衰退担忧以及本周五(又)即将到来的美国政府停摆期限,股市隔夜几近恐慌,投资者纷纷无序抛售。

纳斯达克指数大跌4.0%,标普500指数下跌2.70%,道琼斯工业指数下挫2.08%。金融衍生品市场和黄金表现相对稳定,但油价大幅下滑。

今日亚洲数据日程较为清淡,仅有澳大利亚商业和消费者信心数据值得关注。亚太股市可能会受到华尔街隔夜市场走势的影响而走低,预计以昨日表现惨淡的恒生指数为首。

油价隔夜回吐了上周五的涨幅。布伦特原油收跌1.62%,至每桶69.50美元,WTI原油下跌1.70%,报每桶65.65美元。

布伦特原油未能重新站上此前的支撑位74.00美元,该水平现已成为强劲阻力。当前的关键支撑位在68.60美元,若日收盘价跌破该水平,可能进一步下探至62.00美元。本周可能影响市场的一个支撑因素是相对强弱指数(RSI),目前接近超卖区域,可能带来短暂支撑。


Picture1.pngUKOILRoll 日线图

WTI原油的技术面与布伦特原油类似。它未能重新站上此前的多月支撑位68.60美元,该水平现已成为强大阻力。若65.25美元的双底支撑失守,可能引发进一步下跌,目标指向每桶58.00美元。同样,RSI指标接近超卖区域,可能在本周提供短暂支撑。


Picture2.pngUSOILRoll 日线图

黄金仍是市场的避险首选。尽管隔夜小幅下跌0.70%,收于每盎司2,889.50美元,但仍接近历史高位。黄金的上行楔形阻力位在2,939.00美元,该水平构成挑战。然而,金价在2,830.50美元、2,792.00美元和2,708.00美元设有层级支撑,200日移动均线(200-DMA)则位于2,600.00美元。


Picture3.pngXAUUSD 日线图


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