美国就业岗位增加,股市持续下跌
美国JOLTS职位空缺达774万,高于预测的765万和此前的751万。在美国经济困难时期,剔除农业行业的职位空缺增加是一个积极信号。
职位空缺率为4.6%,房地产行业贡献最大,新增46,000个职位。新聘人数变化不大,维持在540万,其中采矿和伐木行业的裁员幅度最大。
消息公布后,标普500指数(SPX500)今年继续大幅下跌,突破上升旗形形态。当前空头动能强劲,预计在5700点的关键阻力位遇阻后可能进一步下跌。
SPX500 周线图
欧元兑美元(EURUSD)显示美元走软迹象
近几周,欧元兑美元汇率上涨超过5%,反映出近期美元走软的趋势。价格突破下降趋势线,并与1.05关键支撑位相交,预计很快将测试1.12水平,可能遇到阻力。
EURUSD 周线图
油价下跌,美国关税引发重大不确定性
由于市场担忧美国对加拿大、墨西哥和中国的关税可能放缓全球经济增长并降低能源需求,而OPEC+又在增加供应,油价出现下跌。
加拿大和墨西哥是美国最大的两个原油供应国,已对美国实施反制关税。此外,上周五,俄罗斯副总理亚历山大·诺瓦克(Alexander Novak)表示,OPEC+计划自4月起增产,分析师预计这将进一步压低油价。
美国原油(USOILRoll)价格下跌,测试下降楔形下轨趋势线,与67美元关键支撑位交汇。自2021年以来,该支撑位多次发挥作用。如果价格收于67美元以下,并跌破下降趋势线,则可能继续下跌至60美元。
USOILRoll 周线图
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